Janel Group August 8, 2025 Tariff & Trade Updates
Market Update: August 4, 2025
Compliance Updates as of August 1, 2025
Recent Trade Updates and Reminders
Market Update: June 18, 2025
90-Day Pause on Reciprocal Tariffs Scheduled to End August 1 & August 11
Market Update: June 16, 2025
U.S. Trade and Tariff Update: Key Developments on IEPPA Tariffs
On May 28, the Court of International Trade (CIT) ruled that the IEPPA tariffs under the Trump Administration are unlawful, giving CBP 10 days to respond to this ruling by CIT. This ruling applies to the IEPPA tariffs (Fentanyl tariffs with China, Mexico and Canada, and the Reciprocal/Liberation Day tariffs) but does not apply to Section 232 (Steel, Aluminum, Auto, and Auto parts) or to Section 301 tariffs for China (which started in 2018).
Today, on May 29, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit issued a stay on the Court of International Trade's ruling while the appellate court reviews the government's emergency stay motion filed by the Trump administration.
It is not clear whether refunds will ultimately be allowed, nor what the process will be for refunds if allowed (whether through a PSC process or automatic refunds). In the short term, the tariffs will continue to be collected at least until the appellate court reviews the government’s emergency stay motion.
Regardless of the appeal's outcome, the Trump administration has alternative mechanisms to impose tariffs in place of the currently under appeal IEPPA tariffs.
We will continue to monitor this issue very closely and continue to provide updates as they become available.
For assistance and additional questions, please reach out to Janel Group's Compliance Team or a Janel Group Representative.
Director of Trade Compliance for Janel Group LLC
Senior Compliance Analyst
Market Update: May 20, 2025
Ocean Freight Market
The White House has announced a reduction in the reciprocal tariff on Chinese imports to 10% as part of a 90-day pause starting May 14, 2025. This adjustment reduces the rate from 34%, as set by Executive Order 14257 on April 2, 2025, by 24 percentage points. Media reports of a 30% total rate reflect the combination of a 20% IEEPA tariff and the 10% reciprocal tariff. Note that if the shipment is subject to Section 232 tariffs, the 10% reciprocal tariff does not apply—instead, the 25% Section 232 tariff will apply.
The updated China duty rate structure will be: MFN Rate + Section 301 (7.5%–25%) + IEEPA (20%) + Reciprocal (10%).
For those under Section 232, it will be: MFN Rate + Section 301 (7.5%–25%) + IEEPA (20%) + Section 232 (25%).
We’re awaiting the Federal Register Notice (FRN) for the exact end date of the 90-day pause and specific details on the May 14 implementation, including in-transit rules.
The full White House joint statement is available in the provided link – here.
In the Trans-Pacific market, 34% of capacity was cancelled in late April/early May, with demand seeing a very short-lived drop pre-trade negotiation. Currently, 52 container ships are crossing the Pacific (up from May 2024/2023), against a January-April average of 55–59. LA/LB ports have 15 ships on berth (below the usual 20), hinting at congestion risks. Freight rates are likely to spike as importers address backlogs, with ocean rate hikes expected. Logistics challenges, like container shortages in China and limited US trucking capacity, may arise due to the surge in backlog shipping. We are advising clients to secure bookings early to avoid delays, as larger importers may get priority.
The US-UK also reached a trade deal on May 8, reducing tariffs on British cars (from 27.5% to 10% for up to 100,000 vehicles), steel, and aluminum, while maintaining a 10% base tariff on most UK goods. The UK removed tariffs on US ethanol and granted tariff-free beef access (13,000 metric tonnes). The deal opens approximately $5 billion in US export opportunities, including agriculture and aerospace, and establishes a framework for future digital trade and technology partnerships. Final details are still being negotiated. This provides some clarity on expectations for non-China trade deals to come over the next few months.
Conditions in the Red Sea persist. However, as the USA and Yemen’s Houthis come to an agreement for a ceasefire, it is unclear if safe shipping will return to the region. Though Yemen’s Houthis agree to stop stacking vessels in the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandab Strait, leaders of the group indicate their campaign against Israel will continue. Without a complete ceasefire, escalation remains possible. Carriers will not resume shipping through the region until war risk insurance rates are revised, which is unlikely while escalation remains a threat.
Airfreight Market
Successful negotiations between the USA and China to reduce tariffs are expected the elevate booking demand in the coming weeks. As capacity returns to normal post-holiday in China and booking demand spikes in light of reduced tariffs, we expect spot rates to trend upward in the coming weeks. Space continues to be dominated by e-commerce and small-pack freight. We strongly urge clients to confirm space in advance for large shipments or volumetric freight. It is anticipated that capacity and volumes will shift over the coming weeks, resulting in temporary instability as airlines work to redeploy aircraft to higher demand lanes.
The U.S. Market
Market Overview:
Successful negotiations to reduce tariffs from multiple origins signal potential surges of inbound freight. Ports and truckers brace for increased volumes. Downturns in operations with dour projections resulted in a contraction of trucking capacity, as well as slow downs at ports. Considering revised projections now showing a swell, cargo handlers are scrambling to be prepared. Delays in processing freight is expected at all ocean and air terminals as an influx of freight lands in the US. Domestic trucking capacity is anticipated to be put under stress in coming weeks and months.
USWC: Good conditions reported, volumes down.
USEC: Good conditions reported, volumes down
USMW: Good conditions reported, rail lines confirming high capacity available.
USSW: Good conditions reported, volumes down
Janel Group continues to closely monitor the market and port situation. Updates will be provided as they come available. To secure a booking or explore additional options for your supplier, please reach out to your Janel Group Representative.
Director of Procurement and Strategic Partnerships
Sr. Pricing & Commercial Support Analyst
Market Update: May 15, 2024
Ocean Freight Market
Transpac availability remains limited with bookings approx.3 weeks in advance and conditions are expected to continue throughout June. Carriers leveraged the capacity crunch to implement a Peak Season Surcharge and will likely implement GRI and PSS on June 1. Amid the recent uptick in demand, MSC has announced “Diamond Tier premium” for guaranteed space and other carriers are likely to follow suit.
Unions in ports Montreal and Vancouver have indicated possible strike action to begin May 22. The workers voted to strike if a labor deal is not made with strong indicators for possible negotiations. The unions have been without a contract since December 21, 2023. BC Maritime Employers Association (BCMEA) and International Longshore and Warehouse Union Ship & Dock Foremen (ILWU) continue to negotiate to resolve the issue before the strike date. Canada’s Minster of Labour asked the Canada Industrial Relations Board (CIRB). A determination could prevent a strike or lock-out due to health & safety concerns.
Trans-Pac General Rate Increases (GRI)
May 15 PSS announced and implemented in full.
June 1 GRI announced and likely.
June 15 PSS announced.
Airfreight Market
As summer travel ramps up, airlines warn to plan for passenger effects to take priority over booked cargo. Rates remained steady, however coming months could see increases as passenger travel ramps up. Spot markets remained steady.
Civil Aviation Department of Hong Kong announced cargo fuel surcharge will increase effective June 1 2024.
Holiday Notices
Hong Kong: (Labor Day) Offices closed May 1. Normal hours to resume May 2. (Buddha’s Birthday) Offices closed May 15. Normal hours to resume May 16.
China: (Labor Day) Offices closed May 1 through 5. Normal hours to resume May 6.
Taiwan: (Labor Day) Offices closed May 1. Normal hours to resume May 2.
Malaysia: (Labor Day) Offices closed May 1. Normal hours to resume May 2. (Waisak Day) Offices closed May 22. Normal hours to resume May 23.
India: (Labor Day) Offices closed May 1. Normal hours to resume May 2.
Indonesia: (Labor Day) Offices closed May 1. Normal hours to resume May 2. (Ascension Day) Offices closed May 9 & 10. Normal hours to resume May 11. (Waisak Day) Offices closed May 23 & 24. Normal hours to resume May 25.
Korea: (Labor Day) Offices closed May 1. Normal hours to resume May 2. (Children’s Day) Offices closed May 6. Normal hours to resume May 7. (Buddha’s Birthday) Offices closed May 15. Normal hours to resume May 16.
Philippines: (Labor Day) Offices closed May 1. Normal hours to resume May 2.
Thailand: (Labor Day) Offices closed May 1. Normal hours to resume May 2. (Coronation Day) Offices closed May 6. Normal hours to resume May 7. (Visakha Day) Offices closed May 22. Normal hours to resume May 23.
Vietnam: (Labor Day) Offices closed May 1. Normal hours to resume May 2.
United States: (Memorial Day) Offices closed May 27. Normal hours to resume May 28.
The U.S. Market
Overview
International Longshoreman Association (ILA) President issues statement of confidence on the upcoming contract negotiations. Tentative local contract negotiations were completed on schedule, allowing for Master Contract talks to proceed.
Maryland transportation officials announced the Francis Scott Key Bridge is anticipated to be rebuilt by Fall 2028. Local Port Authority of Baltimore announced cargo stranded in the terminals of Baltimore will begin processing around the end of May.
US Lawmakers urged the Biden administration to a “swift conclusion” to the ongoing review of the Section 301 tariffs. The review aims to study the impacts of the Section 301 tariffs and effectiveness implemented by prior administration. In 2022, the US Trade Representative opted to extend the tariffs while investigation of impact of the additional tax, including effects on US consumers, manufacturers, workers, technology, and supply chains. The Section 301 tariffs are slated to expire at the end of May.
USWC: Congestion and higher volumes reported. Estimated 7 days needed for vessel to rail transfer. Reduced operations at Portland’s terminal 6 underway and the port has announced plans to shutter its only container terminal this October, which certainly effect PSW trade lanes.
USEC: Congestion reported in ports with Baltimore diverted traffic. Congestion expected to continue indefinitely.
USMW: Good conditions reported, volume increases reported.
USSW: Good conditions and low congestion and lower volumes reported.
Janel Group continues to closely monitor the market and port situation. Updates will be provided as they come available. To secure a booking or explore additional options for your supplier, please reach out to your Janel Group Representative.
